Back around Valentine’s Day, the Covid Pandemic was raging. On February 11, 2021, nearly 3,300 people died from Covid. Now, about five months later, on July 1, 2021, the death total had been reduced for that single day to 317.
Last February I asked subscribers to my newsletter to give me their predictions. Where would the country be with the pandemic by the Fourth of July? I received several responses. Time has passed. I thought you might like to see what people were saying about Covid and its future….back in February.
First, I’ll share what I had to say about the situation. Then you’ll be able to read what others thought about the future of Covid. These responders are identified only by their state of residence.
It’s nearly impossible to predict the future about most everything. I found this exercise most interesting and I hope you do as well.
Randy’s Covid predictions by July 4.
Help is on the way!
By July 4, 2021, I think we are going to be in a MUCH better place with Covid. That’s nearly five months from now. I feel that virtually everyone in the United States who wants a vaccine will be able to get one by the Fourth of July.
Follow the math.
Here’s my math on that prediction. The U.S. has a population of about 330 million people. When you factor out kids under the age of 18 who will not be getting a vaccine at that point and about 30% of the population who don’t want to get a vaccine that leaves about 180 million people to vaccinate.
Some recent research said that 13% of people would rather die than get a vaccine. Another 7% of the people would only get a vaccine if “required”. Finally, about 30% would only be willing to get a vaccine “after waiting awhile”. I think it’s a safe estimate to say that 30% of the adult population won’t get a vaccine by July 4 by choice.
As this is written we are vaccinating about 1.7 million people each day on average. That number is increasing at a fairly rapid rate. Just this week we had our first single day of 2MM vaccines. It seems to me that with more super-sized vaccination locations opening up and more pharmacies giving vaccines we could easily average 2 million shots a day and maybe more. Of course, this assumes that we don’t run out of vaccines.
Let’s just say for the purpose of projecting that one-third (60MM people) of the active vaccine population (that’s 180MM people) gets one of the three vaccines between now and July 4. That means that 120 million people get two shots each (Moderna and Pfizer) and 60 million people get the J&J single shot. That’s 300 million shots in total.
Mark it down. June 18, 2021.
As of February 15, we’ve already executed about 54.6 million vaccine shots. That leaves 245.4 million shots (300MM less 54.6MM) still to be given. If we are putting 2MM shots in arms each day the math says 245.4MM divided by 2MM is 123. In just 123 days or on the 169th day of the year or about June 18, 2021 everyone who wants a vaccine will have gotten one. Forgive me if I miss the exact date by a day or two. However, I think you would agree that my assumptions are reasonable and backed up by data.
By the way, my data source for vaccine shots given, etc. is the Bloomberg Covid Data Tracker. You’ll need to provide your email address to get this information but it won’t cost you anything. I find all kinds of helpful state-by-state and national Covid vaccine results here.
Covid Data Tracker
Disclaimer alert! It’s difficult to predict tomorrow let alone five months from now. This all assumes we will not have a severe vaccine shortage. From what I am reading we will be awash in the vaccine by April or so.
Herd Immunity.
We are being told that in order to achieve “herd immunity” somewhere between 70-90% of our total population will need to be vaccinated. That’s not going to happen by July 4th. If 180 million (the adults who currently want the vaccine) do get vaccinated that’s only 55% of the total 330 million U.S. population. Without herd immunity, we can’t really stop the spread of Covid through that means.
However, as more and more people continue to get vaccinated…55% of the population, with 95% effectiveness mostly, those folks won’t get Covid. Then when you factor in the people who have already tested positive for Covid and those people who have had Covid but didn’t get a test…and sadly the 500,000 people who died from Covid a very large percentage of the population will have immunity from either the vaccine or a past bout with Covid. Thinking about it that way maybe we WILL achieve herd immunity at that point.
Why do we fear Covid?
Why are people afraid of Covid in the first place? Why do people hunker down in their homes and avoid everyone else? The simple and direct answer is this. People don’t want to get sick and die. People don’t want to endanger their loved ones.
When folks hear the Covid death totals and listen to the bad news about Covid they get scared and stay scared. That’s a very normal reaction.
By the way, I’ve been using the Covid “worldometer” website for Covid case counts, deaths and more, again on a state by state and country by country basis. I find it to be excellent.
Covid cases, deaths and much more country by country and state by state
However, as more and more people get vaccinated and more and more people recover from having tested positive for Covid the number of new cases and new deaths will decrease dramatically. That will be fantastic news.
However!
However….there always seems to be a “however”. Good news doesn’t attract eyeballs as much as bad news with the media whatever your choice of media. The media is laughing all the way to the bank with increased viewership from Covid’s “bad news”. What we will really need at this point are more scandals, more wars, more disasters and catastrophes! O.K., I’m kidding…mostly.
However, the news of fewer Covid deaths and fewer new Covid cases will filter through. Schools will re-open or open up full-time. Restaurants will allow for indoor dining…and people will want to do that. Warm weather will come and people will spend more time outside. Sporting venues will begin allowing fans. People will want to hop on an airplane to visit their children and grandchildren and those folks will want to visit their parents and grandparents…when Covid cases and deaths fall rapidly. There will be dancing in the streets… metaphorically.
What could go wrong?
But…there are some things that can get in the way of my rosy predictions. I’ve already mentioned the potential for vaccine shortages. I don’t think that will happen but it could.
I think people are creatures of habit. I actually think a number of people have “gotten used to” their current Covid lifestyle. They’ve gotten used to not eating inside a restaurant, not going to the movies or a baseball game, not going on a cruise or flying on an airplane. I’ve already had a few friends tell me that even after they’ve been vaccinated, they are going to be playing it very close to the vest. One thing is true. Everyone has a different tolerance toward the very same risk.
Don’t get me wrong. I don’t plan to jump in a mosh pit. I just believe that if I get vaccinated, wear a mask as appropriate, social distance and wash my hands the chances of getting Covid are dramatically reduced. How dramatically reduced?
Which vaccine?
I will say this. I would much prefer to get the Moderna or Pfizer vaccine at 95% effectiveness than the J&J vaccine at 72% effectiveness. I used a probability calculator to marry up the 95% vaccine effectiveness rate with a 99% chance of Covid survival if I did get Covid. The result gave me a rate of dying after being fully vaccinated from Covid at .005.
Then I checked a longevity calculator (yes, I have a lot of time on my hands). It told me that the average 75-year-old had about a 3.5% chance of dying from ANYTHING in the next year. Based on those odds dying from Covid isn’t much riskier than walking across the street!
I also read that the country of Israel had vaccinated 750,000 of its residents. Just 38 people got Covid with mild to severe symptoms. That’s a .005 infection rate. Maybe the Israelis were using my probability calculator!
In mid-November, I stopped my flying using this rationale. I figured I had been pretty lucky to travel for 24 straight weekends up to that point. With the vaccines on the near-term horizon, I thought I would just back off until I got vaccinated. After getting my first shot and researching the fact that the Moderna vaccine is 80% effective after only one shot whereas Pfizer was only 52% effective, even though they would both be 95% after two shots I decided it was safe for me to travel on airplanes once again. In early February I resumed my weekend flying. I suspect, if all goes well, I will have flown another 15-20 weeks by July 4.
What is the “one word” answer to Covid?
I have said from pretty much day one that the one-word answer to the Covid problem is…vaccine. There is also, in my opinion, one potential problem with the vaccines. If at some point the vaccines don’t work because of variants or any other reason then all of my positive feelings about the Covid future are off the table. If the vaccines work, we are golden. If they don’t…I don’t wanna think about that.
My apologies.
I apologize for taking more than “my allotted time”. I guess that’s my reward for running this survey! From here on you will find Covid “today and July 4” experiences and guesstimates (facts and opinions) from some pretty smart and sincere folks.
Please do your best to read each one. We’ll come back around the Fourth of July and try to compare our predictions with reality. I am reminded it is impossible to predict the future…but that doesn’t mean it’s a bad idea to try.
Nevada
Unfortunately, I project that when July 4th rolls around, I believe the pandemic will still not be under control, Financially, I believe most people will be in worse shape than in 2020, and the country’s economy will be sputtering with out of control debt and unemployment.
Ohio
July 4th. Thing of the past. The truth will come out regarding 99% survival rate. Most deaths were older, immune compromised adults.
Covid is real, but it’s a flu strain, politicized and used as a weapon.
My overall take away I’ve learned more than ever about our government, politics, the Constitution(s), my rights, all the media and pharmaceuticals. What a time in history!
No location shared.
As I mentioned in a previous email, I had Covid in June 2020 and was in the hospital with all symptoms. I received two covid plasma transfusions. Today (February 12, 2021), I still don’t have any smell or taste. My short-term memory is still very foggy. I work hard to try to restore it by doing many brain games.
My daily life is a challenge given the issues I still have. This is definitely not a virus to be messed with.
Things will be improved in the US, but I continue to hear from people who will NOT be getting vaccinated. My husband and I have appointments to be vaccinated on February 17. I see Covid will not go away, and we will have to get a vaccination each year as we do for the flu. I hope this has answered each of your poll questions. Keep safe.
Florida
Being a glass half full type of person, I’m thinking (hoping) things will be much better by July 4, with more people being vaccinated, and we’ll continue to learn more about what activities and practices are of lower risk, and which ones to avoid still that are higher risk. We have a Europe trip planned for this September, but I’m guessing it might be 2022 before widespread international travel feels safe again?
Arizona
Where are we going to be in July?
I think we will see a few more things open–restaurants, added attendance at sporting events and travel beginning to pick up.
Economically I think we will still be in the honeymoon period of stimulus. The stock market will remain stable and the jobs numbers will improve. I think we will see inflation starting to rise later in 2021. We are racking up a lot of debt and we will have to deal with that.
Politically I think we are in a great place. As long as both parties continue to agree to disagree they can’t screw up to many things. Unfortunately I can’t say I’m fond of either parties’ agenda of hate the other party when there are so many better ways they could be spending their time and our money.
Medically all I can say is “it depends”. This virus will continue to mutate ’cause that’s what they do. If it mutates to something benign then we are home free. If it goes the other direction we could be in deep dodo. That means we may have to find/approve a new vaccine if these old ones are no longer effective.
Stay Safe and keep the shiny side up!
Ohio
On July 4 I think things will be better, most businesses will be open, but people will still be getting sick and dying. I think the COVID vaccinations will become routine, like flu shots now. People may get boosters before they travel, particularly out of the country. I think schools will all be open in the fall.
I think far more people have gotten sick and died around the world than we will ever know – in India in particular. I saw news video from India when the first shut down was announced and people poured out of the cities like water – headed back to their home villages up to 2000 miles away. It looked like the videos from Saudi Arabia of the Hajj. You couldn’t have scripted a better super spreader event. COVID-19 will be endemic in India forever. Of course, it will be endemic everywhere forever.
United Kingdom
Good Morning Randy,
Covid in UK is on the decline , hopefully, as just over 15m have had at least their first vaccination all over 70s health and care workers who want a vaccination have had it and the next group to be done are the over 60s .
The only blip on the horizon is all the various mutations although our leading medics think that the jabs are effective against them , again hopefully.
We are still in basically a lockdown as you are not allowed to meet people outside your own household although you can go to the supermarket and mix with others 🤷.
All sports ,except elite ie professional, are still banned and those that do take place are in front of empty stands 😞.
Florida
Regarding vaccines, we are waiting our turn patiently and will be actively trying to get appointments…my hope is that our turn is available sometime around Easter, and I have a bet with myself that by Labor Day everyone who wants a vaccine in the US will have it.
I hope next time you do an update, we are all well on our way to vaccination! In the meantime, stay safe and healthy.
Regards,
No location shared
on July 4 I suspect the US will be about the same, the variants will spread, we will see how long the vaccine really protects us, spouse and I had first vaccine, secind one end Feb, will take booster when that comes out too! Dont like not hugging kids and grandkids, they will have memories that we dont love them😢. Take care
Florida
FUTURE – I think that by July 4 the vaccine will be available to anyone who wants it, and that schools will open normally next fall. We are not planning on taking any trips until at least August. Our 50th wedding anniversary will be August 21 and we are hoping to be able to take a trip for that!
Ohio
By the first part of July, I believe things will be much better. Many more businesses will open, more people will be going to eat in restaurants… and people will have more positive attitudes about life… vs living in fear. I actually rebooked a family vacation that we cancelled due to covid. In May, my wife, parents and my siblings and their spouses are all going to Orlando, staying in a 9 bed, 9 bath house… so we can create some great memories. Then in June (Lord willing), we are having a large 100 person party celebrating nearly 35 years of marriage. Bottom line, I am feeling very bullish about 2021!!! (and I’m not talking about the stock market).
Missouri
As far as July 4, I truly believe we will see an improvement and a reduction in COVID infections death rates. I want to plan a trip to the beach, maybe Gulf Shores or Destin, as our only granddaughter has never seen the ocean. I absolutely love the ocean!
Ohio
I’m hopeful that things will be better by July 4th. However, I will probably be quarantined in my house during June and July. Not because of Covid but because of the dreaded 17 year cicadas coming this summer! Why couldn’t they have come last summer when everything was shut down and we had nowhere to go?!?!?
No location shared
Looking forward to July 4: Our sincere hope is that most of this is behind us and that we are seeing light at the end of the tunnel. My wife and I have booked a 35th anniversary trip for late-August / early-September in Ireland – including a castle stay on our 35th anniversary date. We’ve booked an around-the-world trip for April/May/June 2022. If this happens, the economy will take off again (some caveats here if onerous regulations are re-instated). Life will be good again.
Our fear is that there will always be ‘one more thing’, the next virus variant, etc. which will cause the politicians to take advantage of the ’something must be done’ fallacy. They’ve had their hands on ‘let no crisis go to waste’ power for a year and human nature being what it is will resist giving any of it up. Looking at this dispassionately, a lot of politicians are acting as if they have god-like powers – believing they alone are capable of stopping the force of nature represented in this case by a virus. But they are not gods, they don’t have that power. They only have the power to treat us like animals (denying us living life to the fullest with some risk in exchange for existing in isolation [caged] at home). On this path, the only question in my mind is if/when the economy collapses and/or there is a populist revolt. And I do hope I’m wrong.
Florida
By July 4th I predict we’ll have about 50% of the US population vaccinated. Maybe 60%, but not quite at the herd immunity level.
Texas
By July 4 they’ll still be telling us to wear masks and social distance. Numbers will be better but not good enough.
One of my high school classmates, a renowned architect in Houston, has sent me videos of European scientists who claim the vaccines are going to greatly shorten the lives of the elderly and we are not hearing the real truth in America. He said , “ don’t take the vaccine. You’re healthy and in good shape. You don’t need it. The vaccine is not safe”. Well I told him, “ too late. Already got the shots”.
No location shared
- Generally, what is the world going to look like economically, medically and socially on July 4?
I expect our US will still be under a “crisis” situation, so the elites can keep trying to control us. I hope to be wrong and am working to make that so. The virus and current variants will be mostly under control, or well on the way to getting there. Sanity will start creeping in with realization that viruses mutate, and will be around – and guess what, like the flu, may need a new vaccine shot each year. But life goes on – for most, not all.
As to the world – not sure, but the same path, just at different points on the path.
Onward!
Ohio
By July 4 we think things will be better. But we will probably still need to wear masks and do the other actions required to protect ourselves. We think vaccinations will still be in full swing. Many people in less developed countries will still be fighting the virus and trying to get the vaccines needed to combat it. We also think the pharmaceutical companies will be developing improved booster vaccines to fight the now mutating viruses. It may require annual shots to control this virus just like we do for the flu. We see a more hopeful but not totally satisfactory prospect for the near future.
Best regards,
Queensland, Australia
Covid — Future
Like you say, the future is difficult to predict. In fact, pretty well impossible.
To answer this, I have to look at Australia’s relatively lucky situation geographically as well as the overall world situation, where country proximity is, in most cases, far more a problem than here. Australia, after all, is an island, and it has been pretty easy for authorities to close our borders and not allow too many people into the country from overseas. We have a lot of ex-pats in a lot of countries overseas who still can’t get back, as there are a very limited number of people allowed per month into each State and very few flights to accommodate their situation.
I really can’t see things improving much this calendar year. I just hope the vaccines have some effect but my great fear is that with these new mutant strains of the disease which keep popping up, are the vaccines going to be able to counteract them or is the world going to be always one step behind new mutations? An analogy would be the constant battle scientists have in trying to keep ahead of drug cheats in sport.
It scares me that the majority of the larger (population-wise) and developed countries of the world (eg. USA, Britain and many of the European countries) have such massive problems in trying to contain this wretched pandemic. Just when things appear to be improving, away it goes again. I feel for everybody who has it a lot worse than we have, and especially appreciate the hard-working health workers who put themselves at risk every day of the week in the fight. It must be so disheartening and frustrating for them.
As for what will it look like on July 4 economically, medically and socially. Really not much different from now is my guess. I hope I am wrong and not being “glass-half-empty” but I am not at all confident that the world will be much better the rest of this year and maybe beyond that. I know Australia has virtually written off any hope of people being able to go overseas this year, and as for things within our country, we can’t afford to be complacent because we know that the whole situation could blow up in our faces at any time.
Let’s hope that one or all of these vaccines end up being the “magic bullet” that we are all praying for.
Ohio
Future
I don’t expect things to be better (can they get worse?) by July 4. We still won’t be traveling although with the warmer weather we hope to be
able to congregate more with others outside as we did last summer. In fact, I am scientifically pessimistic about the long term future as well.
Viruses mutate, generally for the worse as far as humans are concerned. I think we have many years ahead of us that we will be fighting this.
No location shared
I believe Covid will become a seasonal vaccine event based on all the talk of variants. Normal activities such as travel, school and work will start emerging in early 2022; Election year, you know!
All the best!
Ohio
Covid future: I think it will be around for a while with facemasks being worn, but hopefully less new cases. I think more vaccines will be available for many being vaccinated. By July 4th, I think outdoor gatherings will be allowed and people will be partying.
Looking forward to reading all the responses you get.
Wisconsin
But by July 4, I suspect cases will abate but COVID to become an annual issue like the flu due to virus variation, unless one causes a severe change.
No location shared
My best guess is that we will see COVID numbers continue to improve due to immunity, vaccination and safe practices. Warmer weather should help with the numbers, but I don’t see safe practice guidelines going away anytime soon…certainly not by July 4th.
New Hampshire
I think July 4 will find us not unlike last July 4, doing outside activities with some limitations. I don’t see full on social gatherings across the board at that time, and for some it’ll be a long time before they feel safe coming out of the bunker.
Ohio
Interesting you should mention July 4. We have been contemplating that exact date and what things will be like. Mainly because our son and fiancé moved their wedding from last year on July 4th to this year, still on July 4th and we’re wondering how many of the out-of-towners will be willing to travel, and if our son and fiancé will be able to have their full original invite list.
Medically, I don’t think we’ll be as good as I’d like. I am concerned that too many people will not get vaccinated. As an engineer, I find it really hard to understand how logic/data don’t hold sway over whatever you want to call it (fantasy?)
Economically, I think we’ll be on the path to recovery, but no where near recovered. I’m concerned with how long it will take to get people fully employed and concerned with the number of people who have suffered severe economic issues. I’m cautiously optimistic that we have some governmental leadership, but pessimistic that the 2 parties won’t be willing to do what is needed (read work together) to recover economically. Socially- I think people will be getting together in somewhat larger groups then. I am concerned that the arts have taken a significant hit and social activities involving the arts will be a long way from pre-COVID days.
Net, I expect us to be on the road to a new normal, but pretty early on that journey yet.
California
Covid tomorrow.
God only knows. A part of me says the worst is over with and another part thinks it would be pure hell if this comes back like it did in the beginning. Only time will tell.
Thanks for letting me express my feelings on this. As you can tell, I definitely need a vacation!!
Stay healthy and safe my friend.
Ohio
Predict the future??? But with a couple more vaccines ready for approval, plus faster rollout, my guess is that we are going to see a lot of pent up demand for travel, fine dining, etc. A lot of the habits we’ve developed during the pandemic will be carried over, and life will be healthier.
Thanks for what you do.
Nevada
What do I think life will look like July 4th? I think we will still be working thru Covid. I think we will still be wearing masks. But on the bright side, I think most Americans who want the vaccine will have access to it. Hopefully life will be more “normal” than it is today.
I do believe and have already begun to see the financial impact of Covid in the Las Vegas area. The entertainers have been out of work for almost a year, casinos are still not open at 100% capacity or 24/7, so many restaurants have already closed and many more will, smaller mom and pop type businesses have not survived. All of the above will impact people’s lives for many years to come; whether it be financially, change of careers, losing their homes, bankruptcy etc.
2020 will be a year we will never forget.
Stay well! – Las Vegas
Texas
On July 4 things won’t be drastically different. More people will be fully vaccinated of course, but we won’t yet be far enough along to achieve herd immunity. Cases and deaths from covid will have tapered off, but will still be occurring. The economy will still struggle some, but will be making some progress.
Hope this helps.
Safe travels,
Pennsylvania
Answering your question about COVID future is harder because there are four known variations of the virus. The British variant, the Brazilian variant, the South African variant and the California variant. We still don’t have sufficient data on how effective the current vaccine is against these variants. I suspect we’ll still be using a mask through summer and most likely until the CDC says the US has achieved herd immunity.
International travel for me would take the WHO to declare the world has achieved herd immunity.
Best regards,
No location shared
I think July will be much better as the vaccine rolls out and more people get it.
- I know of several people that will not get the vaccine shot. This seems to be mainly due to their belief that it is not fully researched.
- I am mostly concerned with the economy this year. The USA has borrowed way too much money and keeps spending like that is ok. I also worry about the impact of Covid on young people that have now learned that it’s more lucrative to live on unemployment than to work for a living.
Cheers,
Ohio
Where do I think we’ll be on July 4th – I think things will be the same and different. Many more people will be vaccinated and masks will be a matter of course – just something we all do. We will learn to live with COVID rather than be free of it.
Florida
Millions more people will be vaccinated by July 4th. The US will continue to be a severely politically divided country and that will continue to get worse as time goes on. Inflation is already happening. Gas prices here have gone up 40 cents a gallon since January, that being from around $2 a gallon to $2.43 today. Food prices are steadily increasing, and coupons or other discounts are decreasing. I plan to maintain my stockpile of groceries and paper.
Washington
Our travel schedule for salmon fishing annually to BC negatively impacted and had to cancel last year’s river cruise on the Rhine, too. I do think things will open up slowly for us and businesses but still not sure about these two trips this year. I’m leaning to reschedule the cruise unless I hear Viking has some very good Covid protocols in place to make the trip fun with mask considerations.
We did see our son, Jason, recently after about a year. Our oldest, Todd, turned 45 yesterday and living in the Minneapolis area.
Take care, boss.
Indiana I don’t believe that we are going to be in much better shape come July but I hope I’m wrong. With these variations of the virus showing up I wander if this is not going to end up like the flu vaccine. With them guessing at what vaccine to administer in a country.
Hope I’m wrong and all works out.
California
This July 4th we’ll still proceed with extreme caution as we’ll still be concerned about the Covid virus. However, some of our traditions and activities will return on a smaller and smarter scale. Consumer confidence will start to increase, gradually but our outlook will improve.
We’re on our way to our new normal. Time will tell whatever that will be.
By then, I’m going to Disneyland baby.
Ohio
COVID – July 4
We have received one vaccination shot so far, and the other one is scheduled in less than 2 weeks. After about the middle of March, we will feel free to do more than we do now. We have grandchildren who are in their late teens and early twenties that we haven’t seen for quite a while. They have too much exposure to the general public. We will be happy to start seeing them again on a regular basis. We would like to take a vacation trip in May or June, but it will probably be by car. We don’t yet feel safe to fly, unless they start requiring vaccinations to board a plane, which isn’t likely. Maybe the airlines should schedule some of their flights as “vaccination required”.
We are more concerned about what is going to happen next fall and winter, especially if other, stronger variants emerge. We have a three week vacation planned for next January that we really want to take.
Arizona
Hopefully later this year life will get back to normal. We both will get the vaccine as soon as we qualify but we’re under 65 so it may take awhile. We do have one friend who won’t wear a mask unless it’s mandatory where she is going and have two other friends who think this is a hoax. I don’t understand it but we also live across the country from each other so don’t have to worry about socializing with each other. On July 4th I hope that everyone who wants the vaccine will have had the opportunity to get it.
Ohio
Outlook for the future is good. Lockdown has not bothered me much at all (I stay busy at home) but my wife would love to get out more and soon will be able to.
No location shared
Not planning on getting vaccinated. Too many unknowns. Not saying “never”, just willing to wait. Living my life fairly normally, albeit wearing mask when required.
I’m interested in seeing how many aren’t. The only voices on geezers are those clamoring for an appointment.
I don’t share my thought as I believe I would get lectured. So, hopefully you are a safe ground.
Ohio
Covid – Future
I truly believe that come July 4, we’ll be pretty much back to normal. More and more folk will be getting the vaccine. Besides, States who seem more “laissez-faire” in their approach to Covid don’t seem to be doing any worse than the dictatorial ones. The cynical part of me thinks that some of “shut-it-all-down” sentiment came from politicians who wanted to exacerbate the pain prior to the last election. With those results having turned out as they did, I think…cynically…that there will be a strong desire to get things up and running again quickly.
Well…there’re my 2 cents.
No location shared
July 4th Status? I expect (and hope) things will be much better by July. But, I expect international travel will still be limited. The watch out if new variants emerge for which the current vaccines don’t provide protection.